Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn faces Republican John Peterson in South Carolina’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, in a race rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. The district’s strong partisan lean and Clyburn’s long incumbency support trader expectations for a comfortable Democratic margin, with current market pricing clustered around 25-35 points. Low recent polling and the absence of major campaign developments since the June primaries keep the exact bucket probabilities closely divided, reflecting uncertainty over turnout patterns and any late national political shifts. Peterson’s primary win and limited general-election visibility reinforce the limited Republican upside priced into the market.