Wes Climer holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability in the SC-05 House race because the open-seat contest occurs in a district with a Cook PVI of R+11 and a consistent Republican voting record, including the prior incumbent’s 27-point margin in 2024. Climer, a longtime state senator from York County, advanced unopposed in the June Republican primary, benefits from established local networks, and maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Mallory Dittmer, who won her primary with 56% but operates in a low Democratic infrastructure environment. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant personal or campaign scandal involving Climer, an unusually strong national Democratic environment increasing turnout, or sustained shifts in voter registration trends before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-05 House Election Winner
SC-05 House Election Winner
$10,853 Vol.
$10,853 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Wes Climer (R)
92%
Mallory Dittmer (D)
8%
$10,853 Vol.
$10,853 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Wes Climer (R)
$4,218 Vol.
92%
Mallory Dittmer (D)
$6,635 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wes Climer holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability in the SC-05 House race because the open-seat contest occurs in a district with a Cook PVI of R+11 and a consistent Republican voting record, including the prior incumbent’s 27-point margin in 2024. Climer, a longtime state senator from York County, advanced unopposed in the June Republican primary, benefits from established local networks, and maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Mallory Dittmer, who won her primary with 56% but operates in a low Democratic infrastructure environment. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant personal or campaign scandal involving Climer, an unusually strong national Democratic environment increasing turnout, or sustained shifts in voter registration trends before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$10,853End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wes Climer holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability in the SC-05 House race because the open-seat contest occurs in a district with a Cook PVI of R+11 and a consistent Republican voting record, including the prior incumbent’s 27-point margin in 2024. Climer, a longtime state senator from York County, advanced unopposed in the June Republican primary, benefits from established local networks, and maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Mallory Dittmer, who won her primary with 56% but operates in a low Democratic infrastructure environment. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant personal or campaign scandal involving Climer, an unusually strong national Democratic environment increasing turnout, or sustained shifts in voter registration trends before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,853End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Wes Climer holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability in the SC-05 House race because the open-seat contest occurs in a district with a Cook PVI of R+11 and a consistent Republican voting record, including the prior incumbent’s 27-point margin in 2024. Climer, a longtime state senator from York County, advanced unopposed in the June Republican primary, benefits from established local networks, and maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Mallory Dittmer, who won her primary with 56% but operates in a low Democratic infrastructure environment. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant personal or campaign scandal involving Climer, an unusually strong national Democratic environment increasing turnout, or sustained shifts in voter registration trends before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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