Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson faces Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa in South Carolina’s 2nd district, a seat rated solid Republican with an R+7 partisan lean. Wilson’s primary victory and the Democratic runoff outcome in June left limited new information for traders, keeping margin probabilities clustered in the 5-15% Republican bands. The district’s history of double-digit GOP victories contrasts with national midterm dynamics that could compress margins, while the absence of fresh polling or major campaign events sustains uncertainty between narrow and moderate Republican wins. Upcoming debates or late-cycle national shifts remain the main variables that could separate the leading margin outcomes before November 3.