**Recent polling and the open-seat dynamics have kept the SC-01 contest between Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Democrat Nancy Lacore tightly matched, with trader consensus reflecting a near-even split on the winner while favoring modest Republican margins.** The district’s R+6 partisan lean and strong 2024 Republican performance provide a structural edge for Honeycutt, yet Lacore’s naval background, strong primary fundraising, and national Democratic support have narrowed the gap in surveys showing leads from single digits to low double digits. Limited public polling since the June primaries and runoff, combined with broader midterm headwinds for the GOP, sustain uncertainty around the final margin. Late-cycle shifts in turnout among suburban or independent voters, additional candidate debates, or national economic or foreign-policy developments could widen separation before November 3.