Russia’s September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections produced official Central Election Commission tallies showing A Just Russia (SR) at 5.13% on the federal party list, narrowly above the 5% threshold required for proportional seats, plus additional single-mandate wins. The party’s share rose sharply in the final stages of counting after hovering near or below 5% with most precincts reported, a shift analysts linked to administrative adjustments. United Russia secured a record share exceeding 57%, while SR’s leader Sergey Mironov’s longstanding ties to the Kremlin aligned with reports that authorities ensured the party’s entry to maintain the existing set of Duma factions. Final certification remains pending but aligns with these preliminary figures. Late legal challenges or revised protocols represent the principal residual uncertainties for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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