Skip to main content
icon for Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
World·Romania

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

icon for Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
World·Romania

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

$810,110 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$810,110 Vol.

Polymarket

July 31

$3,266 Vol.

30%

December 31

$302,496 Vol.

96%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's political instability centers on the May 5, 2026, no-confidence vote that ended Ilie Bolojan’s pro-EU coalition government after the Social Democratic Party aligned with far-right opposition to secure 281 votes in parliament. Bolojan has remained caretaker prime minister since, with limited powers, while moderate parties struggle to assemble a replacement majority amid coalition breakdowns and failed nomination attempts, including the recent rejection of Adrian Veștea by his own National Liberal Party. This deadlock, driven by disputes over fiscal policy, EU funds, and patronage networks, has prolonged the caretaker period beyond initial expectations. Scheduled parliamentary votes on new government proposals and any further presidential nominations could shift timelines, though historical patterns of protracted negotiations in similar Romanian crises suggest extended uncertainty before a successor gains approval.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$810,110
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's political instability centers on the May 5, 2026, no-confidence vote that ended Ilie Bolojan’s pro-EU coalition government after the Social Democratic Party aligned with far-right opposition to secure 281 votes in parliament. Bolojan has remained caretaker prime minister since, with limited powers, while moderate parties struggle to assemble a replacement majority amid coalition breakdowns and failed nomination attempts, including the recent rejection of Adrian Veștea by his own National Liberal Party. This deadlock, driven by disputes over fiscal policy, EU funds, and patronage networks, has prolonged the caretaker period beyond initial expectations. Scheduled parliamentary votes on new government proposals and any further presidential nominations could shift timelines, though historical patterns of protracted negotiations in similar Romanian crises suggest extended uncertainty before a successor gains approval.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$810,110
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

icon for Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

28%
icon for Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

10%
icon for Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

24%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 96%, followed by " July 31" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" has generated $810.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" is "December 31" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is " July 31" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.