Romania's parliament entered caretaker mode after lawmakers ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU coalition via a no-confidence vote on May 5. Under Article 89 of the constitution, dissolution requires the president to reject at least two prime-ministerial nominees and for parliament to fail to grant confidence within sixty days. Negotiations among major parties are already underway to seat a replacement government well before the July 31 window closes. Traders assign the 92.3 percent "No" probability because both the Social Democrats and other groups have signaled they prefer a swift investiture to preserve EU recovery funding deadlines and avoid an early election. The only realistic path to dissolution would be repeated failed investiture attempts stretching into late July, an outcome current consultations make unlikely.