Roku's Q2 2026 earnings release, scheduled for August 6 after the close, carries a 100% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates of $0.61 EPS and roughly $1.3 billion in revenue. This near-certain trader consensus stems primarily from the company's pre-release guidance of $1.295 billion in total net revenue, approximately $580 million gross profit, and $170 million adjusted EBITDA, which align closely with or exceed Wall Street forecasts amid 20% year-over-year platform revenue growth. Roku's Q1 beat of $0.57 EPS versus $0.34 expectations, combined with rising streaming hours and full-year outlook revisions, reinforces the momentum in monetization and user engagement. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited but could include unexpected one-time charges or shifts in device revenue, though the pending Fox acquisition and absence of an earnings call reduce volatility around the print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>99% chance
$1,177 Vol.
$1,177 Vol.
Jul 30, 2026
>99% chance
$1,177 Vol.
$1,177 Vol.
Jul 30, 2026
As of market creation, Roku is estimated to release earnings on August 6, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Roku's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.59 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roku reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.59 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Roku's Q2 2026 earnings release, scheduled for August 6 after the close, carries a 100% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates of $0.61 EPS and roughly $1.3 billion in revenue. This near-certain trader consensus stems primarily from the company's pre-release guidance of $1.295 billion in total net revenue, approximately $580 million gross profit, and $170 million adjusted EBITDA, which align closely with or exceed Wall Street forecasts amid 20% year-over-year platform revenue growth. Roku's Q1 beat of $0.57 EPS versus $0.34 expectations, combined with rising streaming hours and full-year outlook revisions, reinforces the momentum in monetization and user engagement. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited but could include unexpected one-time charges or shifts in device revenue, though the pending Fox acquisition and absence of an earnings call reduce volatility around the print.
As of market creation, Roku is estimated to release earnings on August 6, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Roku's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.59 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roku reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.59 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Jul 18, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Volume
$1,177End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
As of market creation, Roku is estimated to release earnings on August 6, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Roku's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.59 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roku reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.59 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Roku's Q2 2026 earnings release, scheduled for August 6 after the close, carries a 100% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates of $0.61 EPS and roughly $1.3 billion in revenue. This near-certain trader consensus stems primarily from the company's pre-release guidance of $1.295 billion in total net revenue, approximately $580 million gross profit, and $170 million adjusted EBITDA, which align closely with or exceed Wall Street forecasts amid 20% year-over-year platform revenue growth. Roku's Q1 beat of $0.57 EPS versus $0.34 expectations, combined with rising streaming hours and full-year outlook revisions, reinforces the momentum in monetization and user engagement. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited but could include unexpected one-time charges or shifts in device revenue, though the pending Fox acquisition and absence of an earnings call reduce volatility around the print.
As of market creation, Roku is estimated to release earnings on August 6, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Roku's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.59 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roku reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.59 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$1,177End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Roku's Q2 2026 earnings release, scheduled for August 6 after the close, carries a 100% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates of $0.61 EPS and roughly $1.3 billion in revenue. This near-certain trader consensus stems primarily from the company's pre-release guidance of $1.295 billion in total net revenue, approximately $580 million gross profit, and $170 million adjusted EBITDA, which align closely with or exceed Wall Street forecasts amid 20% year-over-year platform revenue growth. Roku's Q1 beat of $0.57 EPS versus $0.34 expectations, combined with rising streaming hours and full-year outlook revisions, reinforces the momentum in monetization and user engagement. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited but could include unexpected one-time charges or shifts in device revenue, though the pending Fox acquisition and absence of an earnings call reduce volatility around the print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions