Putin’s current presidential term, secured in the 2024 election under 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits, runs through 2030 with no scheduled elections, referendums, or mandatory transitions before December 31, 2026. The 73-year-old leader maintains tight control over security services, regional elites, and state institutions, with recent public appearances—including his December 2025 New Year’s address, year-end press conference, and June 2026 SPIEF remarks—demonstrating operational continuity amid the Ukraine conflict. Persistent but unverified health rumors have not produced credible evidence of incapacity or elite fracture capable of forcing removal. Trader consensus at roughly 90 percent reflects the structural barriers to an unscheduled exit within the narrow 18-month window, though late-breaking health events or sudden internal shifts remain theoretically possible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$7,574,286 Vol.
$7,574,286 Vol.
$7,574,286 Vol.
$7,574,286 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin’s current presidential term, secured in the 2024 election under 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits, runs through 2030 with no scheduled elections, referendums, or mandatory transitions before December 31, 2026. The 73-year-old leader maintains tight control over security services, regional elites, and state institutions, with recent public appearances—including his December 2025 New Year’s address, year-end press conference, and June 2026 SPIEF remarks—demonstrating operational continuity amid the Ukraine conflict. Persistent but unverified health rumors have not produced credible evidence of incapacity or elite fracture capable of forcing removal. Trader consensus at roughly 90 percent reflects the structural barriers to an unscheduled exit within the narrow 18-month window, though late-breaking health events or sudden internal shifts remain theoretically possible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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