**Retail egg prices stabilized in the $2.00–$2.25 range for July 2026**, with BLS data showing an average of $2.189 per dozen for Grade A large eggs, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at 100% consensus. The dominant positioning reflects the sharp supply recovery following 2024–2025 highly pathogenic avian influenza losses, which had previously culled tens of millions of layers and driven 2025 peaks above $6. Aggressive flock restocking lifted national laying hen inventories toward 308–309 million by early 2026, boosting production and creating inventory overhangs that pressured wholesale and retail levels lower. Seasonal post-holiday demand moderation and stable feed costs further supported the normalization, with USDA forecasts anticipating 2026 averages well below prior-year levels. A major new HPAI wave or unexpected demand surge could still shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.00–$2.25 100.0%
<$1.50 <1%
$1.50–$1.75 <1%
$1.75–$2.00 <1%
$28,491 Vol.
$28,491 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
<$1.50
No
$1.50–$1.75
No
$1.75–$2.00
No
$2.00–$2.25
Yes
$2.25–$2.50
No
$2.50–$2.75
No
$2.75–$3.00
No
$3.00–$3.25
No
$3.25–$3.50
No
≥$3.50
No
$2.00–$2.25 100.0%
<$1.50 <1%
$1.50–$1.75 <1%
$1.75–$2.00 <1%
$28,491 Vol.
$28,491 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
<$1.50
$763 Vol.
No
$1.50–$1.75
$788 Vol.
No
$1.75–$2.00
$3,889 Vol.
No
$2.00–$2.25
$14,768 Vol.
Yes
$2.25–$2.50
$3,415 Vol.
No
$2.50–$2.75
$710 Vol.
No
$2.75–$3.00
$836 Vol.
No
$3.00–$3.25
$1,266 Vol.
No
$3.25–$3.50
$704 Vol.
No
≥$3.50
$1,353 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the July data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The July release is presently scheduled for August 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.**Retail egg prices stabilized in the $2.00–$2.25 range for July 2026**, with BLS data showing an average of $2.189 per dozen for Grade A large eggs, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at 100% consensus. The dominant positioning reflects the sharp supply recovery following 2024–2025 highly pathogenic avian influenza losses, which had previously culled tens of millions of layers and driven 2025 peaks above $6. Aggressive flock restocking lifted national laying hen inventories toward 308–309 million by early 2026, boosting production and creating inventory overhangs that pressured wholesale and retail levels lower. Seasonal post-holiday demand moderation and stable feed costs further supported the normalization, with USDA forecasts anticipating 2026 averages well below prior-year levels.
A major new HPAI wave or unexpected demand surge could still shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the July data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The July release is presently scheduled for August 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The July release is presently scheduled for August 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$28,491End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the July data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The July release is presently scheduled for August 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.**Retail egg prices stabilized in the $2.00–$2.25 range for July 2026**, with BLS data showing an average of $2.189 per dozen for Grade A large eggs, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at 100% consensus. The dominant positioning reflects the sharp supply recovery following 2024–2025 highly pathogenic avian influenza losses, which had previously culled tens of millions of layers and driven 2025 peaks above $6. Aggressive flock restocking lifted national laying hen inventories toward 308–309 million by early 2026, boosting production and creating inventory overhangs that pressured wholesale and retail levels lower. Seasonal post-holiday demand moderation and stable feed costs further supported the normalization, with USDA forecasts anticipating 2026 averages well below prior-year levels.
A major new HPAI wave or unexpected demand surge could still shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the July data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The July release is presently scheduled for August 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The July release is presently scheduled for August 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Volume
$28,491End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Retail egg prices stabilized in the $2.00–$2.25 range for July 2026**, with BLS data showing an average of $2.189 per dozen for Grade A large eggs, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at 100% consensus. The dominant positioning reflects the sharp supply recovery following 2024–2025 highly pathogenic avian influenza losses, which had previously culled tens of millions of layers and driven 2025 peaks above $6. Aggressive flock restocking lifted national laying hen inventories toward 308–309 million by early 2026, boosting production and creating inventory overhangs that pressured wholesale and retail levels lower. Seasonal post-holiday demand moderation and stable feed costs further supported the normalization, with USDA forecasts anticipating 2026 averages well below prior-year levels. A major new HPAI wave or unexpected demand surge could still shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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