August 2026 delivered 8.49 inches of precipitation at New York City's Central Park, well above the long-term average of 4.6 inches and comfortably exceeding the 6-inch threshold. National Weather Service observations recorded multiple heavy rainfall episodes, including 2.87 inches on August 20 and nearly 2 inches on August 3, driven by repeated low-pressure systems and high atmospheric moisture. These verified totals from official monitoring stations produced the wettest August since 2021 and locked in the market-implied outcome above 6 inches. Only an extraordinary late-month measurement revision or station error could alter resolution, scenarios unsupported by the final climatological summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in NYC in August?
Precipitation in NYC in August?
>6" 100.0%
<2" <1%
2-3" <1%
3-4" <1%
$5,337 Vol.
$5,337 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<2"
No
2-3"
No
3-4"
No
4-5"
No
5-6"
No
>6"
Yes
>6" 100.0%
<2" <1%
2-3" <1%
3-4" <1%
$5,337 Vol.
$5,337 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<2"
$1,267 Vol.
No
2-3"
$898 Vol.
No
3-4"
$801 Vol.
No
4-5"
$602 Vol.
No
5-6"
$516 Vol.
No
>6"
$1,253 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.August 2026 delivered 8.49 inches of precipitation at New York City's Central Park, well above the long-term average of 4.6 inches and comfortably exceeding the 6-inch threshold. National Weather Service observations recorded multiple heavy rainfall episodes, including 2.87 inches on August 20 and nearly 2 inches on August 3, driven by repeated low-pressure systems and high atmospheric moisture. These verified totals from official monitoring stations produced the wettest August since 2021 and locked in the market-implied outcome above 6 inches. Only an extraordinary late-month measurement revision or station error could alter resolution, scenarios unsupported by the final climatological summary.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ET
Volume
$5,337End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.August 2026 delivered 8.49 inches of precipitation at New York City's Central Park, well above the long-term average of 4.6 inches and comfortably exceeding the 6-inch threshold. National Weather Service observations recorded multiple heavy rainfall episodes, including 2.87 inches on August 20 and nearly 2 inches on August 3, driven by repeated low-pressure systems and high atmospheric moisture. These verified totals from official monitoring stations produced the wettest August since 2021 and locked in the market-implied outcome above 6 inches. Only an extraordinary late-month measurement revision or station error could alter resolution, scenarios unsupported by the final climatological summary.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,337End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
August 2026 delivered 8.49 inches of precipitation at New York City's Central Park, well above the long-term average of 4.6 inches and comfortably exceeding the 6-inch threshold. National Weather Service observations recorded multiple heavy rainfall episodes, including 2.87 inches on August 20 and nearly 2 inches on August 3, driven by repeated low-pressure systems and high atmospheric moisture. These verified totals from official monitoring stations produced the wettest August since 2021 and locked in the market-implied outcome above 6 inches. Only an extraordinary late-month measurement revision or station error could alter resolution, scenarios unsupported by the final climatological summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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