London's August 2026 precipitation totaled just 12 mm according to station data, far below the 52 mm long-term average and well under the 30 mm threshold. Persistent high-pressure systems, above-average temperatures reaching 37.7 °C, and minimal frontal activity produced widespread dry conditions across southeastern England, where regional totals reached only 35.2 mm or 56 % of normal. Official Met Office summaries confirm eight of nine UK regions recorded below-average rainfall, with drought declarations persisting through late August. Traders' 97.5 % implied probability on the <30 mm outcome directly tracks these verified measurements. Only substantial late-month revisions to official totals or reclassification of trace events could alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in London in August?
Precipitation in London in August?
<30mm 100.0%
30-40mm <1%
40-50mm <1%
50-60mm <1%
$12,381 Vol.
$12,381 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<30mm
Yes
30-40mm
No
40-50mm
No
50-60mm
No
60-70mm
No
70-80mm
No
80mm+
No
<30mm 100.0%
30-40mm <1%
40-50mm <1%
50-60mm <1%
$12,381 Vol.
$12,381 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<30mm
$1,346 Vol.
Yes
30-40mm
$1,507 Vol.
No
40-50mm
$1,364 Vol.
No
50-60mm
$606 Vol.
No
60-70mm
$6,336 Vol.
No
70-80mm
$597 Vol.
No
80mm+
$625 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.London's August 2026 precipitation totaled just 12 mm according to station data, far below the 52 mm long-term average and well under the 30 mm threshold. Persistent high-pressure systems, above-average temperatures reaching 37.7 °C, and minimal frontal activity produced widespread dry conditions across southeastern England, where regional totals reached only 35.2 mm or 56 % of normal. Official Met Office summaries confirm eight of nine UK regions recorded below-average rainfall, with drought declarations persisting through late August. Traders' 97.5 % implied probability on the <30 mm outcome directly tracks these verified measurements. Only substantial late-month revisions to official totals or reclassification of trace events could alter resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ET
Volume
$12,381End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.London's August 2026 precipitation totaled just 12 mm according to station data, far below the 52 mm long-term average and well under the 30 mm threshold. Persistent high-pressure systems, above-average temperatures reaching 37.7 °C, and minimal frontal activity produced widespread dry conditions across southeastern England, where regional totals reached only 35.2 mm or 56 % of normal. Official Met Office summaries confirm eight of nine UK regions recorded below-average rainfall, with drought declarations persisting through late August. Traders' 97.5 % implied probability on the <30 mm outcome directly tracks these verified measurements. Only substantial late-month revisions to official totals or reclassification of trace events could alter resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,381End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
London's August 2026 precipitation totaled just 12 mm according to station data, far below the 52 mm long-term average and well under the 30 mm threshold. Persistent high-pressure systems, above-average temperatures reaching 37.7 °C, and minimal frontal activity produced widespread dry conditions across southeastern England, where regional totals reached only 35.2 mm or 56 % of normal. Official Met Office summaries confirm eight of nine UK regions recorded below-average rainfall, with drought declarations persisting through late August. Traders' 97.5 % implied probability on the <30 mm outcome directly tracks these verified measurements. Only substantial late-month revisions to official totals or reclassification of trace events could alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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