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icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Politics·U.S. Politics

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Politics·U.S. Politics

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$1,742,239 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$1,742,239 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between March 25 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between March 25 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,742,239
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2025, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between March 25 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between March 25 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between March 25 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,742,239
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2025, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between March 25 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.