Democrats have coalesced around impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over his direction of U.S. military operations in Iran without fresh congressional authorization, citing violations of the War Powers Resolution and related charges. Republican Rep. Thomas Massie introduced articles of impeachment in September as a privileged resolution, forcing procedural consideration, though House leadership postponed action until after the November 3 midterms. With Democrats holding a polling edge and signaling early hearings or votes if they regain the House, the lame-duck session beginning November 9 has become a focal point. Trader sentiment reflects the low odds of Senate conviction even if House articles pass, alongside Hegseth’s continued service and Pentagon defenses of his leadership. Midterm outcomes and any new war developments remain the clearest near-term catalysts.