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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Paul Giamatti 52%

Miles Teller 10.5%

Robert Pattinson 8.9%

Sam Rockwell 7.0%

Polymarket

$15,807 Vol.

Paul Giamatti 52%

Miles Teller 10.5%

Robert Pattinson 8.9%

Sam Rockwell 7.0%

Polymarket

$15,807 Vol.

icon for Paul Giamatti

Paul Giamatti

$5,191 Vol.

52%

icon for Miles Teller

Miles Teller

$114 Vol.

10%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$7,009 Vol.

9%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$124 Vol.

7%

icon for John Goodman

John Goodman

$574 Vol.

7%

icon for Edward Norton

Edward Norton

$157 Vol.

5%

icon for Guy Pearce

Guy Pearce

$392 Vol.

5%

icon for Robert De Niro

Robert De Niro

$84 Vol.

4%

icon for Steve Buscemi

Steve Buscemi

$89 Vol.

4%

icon for Riz Ahmed

Riz Ahmed

$126 Vol.

4%

icon for Jesse Plemons

Jesse Plemons

$88 Vol.

4%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$234 Vol.

4%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$84 Vol.

4%

icon for Himesh Patel

Himesh Patel

$84 Vol.

4%

icon for Daniel Craig

Daniel Craig

$84 Vol.

4%

icon for Colman Domingo

Colman Domingo

$224 Vol.

3%

icon for Travis Scott

Travis Scott

$161 Vol.

3%

icon for Adam Scott

Adam Scott

$121 Vol.

3%

icon for Channing Tatum

Channing Tatum

$174 Vol.

2%

icon for Charles Melton

Charles Melton

$500 Vol.

1%

icon for James Ortiz

James Ortiz

$104 Vol.

1%

icon for Michael Fassbender

Michael Fassbender

$89 Vol.

9%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul Giamatti holds the clearest edge in the early 2027 Best Supporting Actor market thanks to his established awards pedigree as a two-time Oscar nominee and anticipated lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 drama The Debut. The broad field of contenders, including names attached to Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey, Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, and other prestige titles, reflects high uncertainty this far ahead of screenings. Trader consensus factors in historical patterns favoring veteran performers in ensemble-driven studio pictures, while differentiating elements like guild momentum, critical reception, and studio campaign strength remain untested. Key catalysts ahead include fall festival debuts, precursor awards, and SAG-AFTRA nominations that typically clarify frontrunners before voting begins.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,807
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul Giamatti holds the clearest edge in the early 2027 Best Supporting Actor market thanks to his established awards pedigree as a two-time Oscar nominee and anticipated lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 drama The Debut. The broad field of contenders, including names attached to Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey, Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, and other prestige titles, reflects high uncertainty this far ahead of screenings. Trader consensus factors in historical patterns favoring veteran performers in ensemble-driven studio pictures, while differentiating elements like guild momentum, critical reception, and studio campaign strength remain untested. Key catalysts ahead include fall festival debuts, precursor awards, and SAG-AFTRA nominations that typically clarify frontrunners before voting begins.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,807
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul Giamatti" at 52%, followed by "Miles Teller" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" has generated $15.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is "Paul Giamatti" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Miles Teller" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.