The Black Ball leads the Best International Feature Film market with a 67.5% implied probability, driven by early trader consensus around its festival reception and national selection strength heading into the 2027 Oscars cycle. A broad field of other titles sits near even money at 50%, underscoring the wide-open nature of submissions this far from the ceremony and the limited early signals from critics or guilds. Lower-priced options such as Possible Love at 14.9% and Fatherland at 7.6% reflect thinner momentum based on current reviews and distribution plans. Key upcoming catalysts include additional country submissions, fall festival premieres, and precursor awards that could consolidate or shift support before voting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball 68%
Possible Love 6.6%
Fatherland 6.3%
All of a Sudden 5.9%
$20,430 Vol.
$20,430 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
The Black Ball
68%
Possible Love
15%
Fatherland
6%
All of a Sudden
6%
Fjord
4%
Coward
1%
The Beloved
1%
Minotaur
1%
Bitter Christmas
1%
Parallel Tales
1%
The Dreamed Adventure
<1%
Sheep in the Box
<1%
Rose
<1%
The Man I Love
<1%
Hope
<1%
The Black Ball 68%
Possible Love 6.6%
Fatherland 6.3%
All of a Sudden 5.9%
$20,430 Vol.
$20,430 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
The Black Ball
$8,839 Vol.
68%
Possible Love
$857 Vol.
15%
Fatherland
$1,417 Vol.
6%
All of a Sudden
$997 Vol.
6%
Fjord
$1,537 Vol.
4%
Coward
$811 Vol.
1%
The Beloved
$773 Vol.
1%
Minotaur
$723 Vol.
1%
Bitter Christmas
$548 Vol.
1%
Parallel Tales
$715 Vol.
1%
The Dreamed Adventure
$554 Vol.
<1%
Sheep in the Box
$694 Vol.
<1%
Rose
$569 Vol.
<1%
The Man I Love
$690 Vol.
<1%
Hope
$705 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads the Best International Feature Film market with a 67.5% implied probability, driven by early trader consensus around its festival reception and national selection strength heading into the 2027 Oscars cycle. A broad field of other titles sits near even money at 50%, underscoring the wide-open nature of submissions this far from the ceremony and the limited early signals from critics or guilds. Lower-priced options such as Possible Love at 14.9% and Fatherland at 7.6% reflect thinner momentum based on current reviews and distribution plans. Key upcoming catalysts include additional country submissions, fall festival premieres, and precursor awards that could consolidate or shift support before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
Volume
$20,430End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads the Best International Feature Film market with a 67.5% implied probability, driven by early trader consensus around its festival reception and national selection strength heading into the 2027 Oscars cycle. A broad field of other titles sits near even money at 50%, underscoring the wide-open nature of submissions this far from the ceremony and the limited early signals from critics or guilds. Lower-priced options such as Possible Love at 14.9% and Fatherland at 7.6% reflect thinner momentum based on current reviews and distribution plans. Key upcoming catalysts include additional country submissions, fall festival premieres, and precursor awards that could consolidate or shift support before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,430End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Black Ball leads the Best International Feature Film market with a 67.5% implied probability, driven by early trader consensus around its festival reception and national selection strength heading into the 2027 Oscars cycle. A broad field of other titles sits near even money at 50%, underscoring the wide-open nature of submissions this far from the ceremony and the limited early signals from critics or guilds. Lower-priced options such as Possible Love at 14.9% and Fatherland at 7.6% reflect thinner momentum based on current reviews and distribution plans. Key upcoming catalysts include additional country submissions, fall festival premieres, and precursor awards that could consolidate or shift support before voting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions