Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee secured her party's nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary and holds a Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic rating from major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. The district's narrow Democratic margins in 2022 and 2024, combined with its Cook Partisan Voting Index near even, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5%. Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in his June primary, faces structural challenges in this swing district despite potential tailwinds from statewide Republican performance. With the November general election approaching, limited recent shifts in polling or endorsements have kept probabilities stable, reflecting the incumbent's established edge in a competitive but Democratic-leaning seat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNV-03 House Election Winner
NV-03 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,070 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$766 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee secured her party's nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary and holds a Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic rating from major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. The district's narrow Democratic margins in 2022 and 2024, combined with its Cook Partisan Voting Index near even, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5%. Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in his June primary, faces structural challenges in this swing district despite potential tailwinds from statewide Republican performance. With the November general election approaching, limited recent shifts in polling or endorsements have kept probabilities stable, reflecting the incumbent's established edge in a competitive but Democratic-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$3,836End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee secured her party's nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary and holds a Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic rating from major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. The district's narrow Democratic margins in 2022 and 2024, combined with its Cook Partisan Voting Index near even, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5%. Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in his June primary, faces structural challenges in this swing district despite potential tailwinds from statewide Republican performance. With the November general election approaching, limited recent shifts in polling or endorsements have kept probabilities stable, reflecting the incumbent's established edge in a competitive but Democratic-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,836End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee secured her party's nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary and holds a Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic rating from major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. The district's narrow Democratic margins in 2022 and 2024, combined with its Cook Partisan Voting Index near even, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5%. Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in his June primary, faces structural challenges in this swing district despite potential tailwinds from statewide Republican performance. With the November general election approaching, limited recent shifts in polling or endorsements have kept probabilities stable, reflecting the incumbent's established edge in a competitive but Democratic-leaning seat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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