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Global Politics

$40,756 Bet

Expires Dec 31, 2023

North Korea nuke by...?

North Korea nuke by...?

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic People's Public of Korea (North Korea) detonates a nuclear device in any capacity by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation initiated by North Korea will result in a "Yes" resolution.

This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.

For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
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December 31

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Yes50.0¢
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