Incumbent Democratic Justice Anita Earls holds a commanding position in the November 3 partisan election for the North Carolina Supreme Court seat, with traders assigning her an 80.5% implied probability against Republican challenger Sarah Stevens at 18.5%. Earls benefits from a substantial fundraising edge exceeding 13 times her opponent’s cash on hand, heavy outside spending on television ads, and consistent polling leads in recent surveys through early October. Stevens has maintained a low public profile with minimal advertising, limited debate participation, and reliance on private events ahead of in-person early voting that began October 15. The contest will not alter the court’s current 5-2 Republican majority but carries implications for 2028 when three Republican seats face voters.