Democratic incumbent Nellie Pou holds a structural edge in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, a D+2 seat that she captured by just 50.8 percent in 2024 after succeeding longtime Representative Bill Pascrell. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s modest partisan tilt and Pou’s unopposed primary status ahead of the June 2 contests. Republican challengers Tiffany Burress and Rosemary Pino remain in their own primary, with national GOP attention focused on the seat as one of New Jersey’s more competitive House races. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56 percent while leaving Republicans with a 37.5 percent implied probability in a contest that could shift with turnout patterns or national conditions closer to November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
43%
民主党
57%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$279 交易量
43%
民主党
$475 交易量
57%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Nellie Pou holds a structural edge in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, a D+2 seat that she captured by just 50.8 percent in 2024 after succeeding longtime Representative Bill Pascrell. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s modest partisan tilt and Pou’s unopposed primary status ahead of the June 2 contests. Republican challengers Tiffany Burress and Rosemary Pino remain in their own primary, with national GOP attention focused on the seat as one of New Jersey’s more competitive House races. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56 percent while leaving Republicans with a 37.5 percent implied probability in a contest that could shift with turnout patterns or national conditions closer to November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$754结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Nellie Pou holds a structural edge in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, a D+2 seat that she captured by just 50.8 percent in 2024 after succeeding longtime Representative Bill Pascrell. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s modest partisan tilt and Pou’s unopposed primary status ahead of the June 2 contests. Republican challengers Tiffany Burress and Rosemary Pino remain in their own primary, with national GOP attention focused on the seat as one of New Jersey’s more competitive House races. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56 percent while leaving Republicans with a 37.5 percent implied probability in a contest that could shift with turnout patterns or national conditions closer to November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$754结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Nellie Pou holds a structural edge in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, a D+2 seat that she captured by just 50.8 percent in 2024 after succeeding longtime Representative Bill Pascrell. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s modest partisan tilt and Pou’s unopposed primary status ahead of the June 2 contests. Republican challengers Tiffany Burress and Rosemary Pino remain in their own primary, with national GOP attention focused on the seat as one of New Jersey’s more competitive House races. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56 percent while leaving Republicans with a 37.5 percent implied probability in a contest that could shift with turnout patterns or national conditions closer to November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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