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icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

$27,201 Vol.

Polymarket

$27,201 Vol.

Polymarket

Ben Shelton

$2,737 Vol.

97%

Carlos Alcaraz

$255 Vol.

96%

Flavio Cobolli

$1,266 Vol.

92%

Frances Tiafoe

$303 Vol.

77%

Arthur Fils

$2,107 Vol.

76%

Daniil Medvedev

$1,300 Vol.

46%

Taylor Fritz

$1,674 Vol.

38%

Rafael Jodar

$2,944 Vol.

33%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$3,006 Vol.

26%

Alex de Minaur

$4,285 Vol.

17%

Jakub Mensik

$80 Vol.

15%

Tommy Paul

$271 Vol.

7%

Brandon Nakashima

$288 Vol.

6%

Jiri Lehecka

$1,789 Vol.

5%

Joao Fonseca

$181 Vol.

4%

Novak Djokovic

$795 Vol.

4%

Learner Tien

$130 Vol.

4%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

4%

Zizou Bergs

$10 Vol.

4%

Ignacio Buse

$84 Vol.

4%

Alejandro Tabilo

$110 Vol.

4%

Matteo Arnaldi

$10 Vol.

4%

Lorenzo Musetti

$303 Vol.

4%

Valentin Vacherot

$10 Vol.

4%

Raphael Collignon

$10 Vol.

4%

Quentin Halys

$10 Vol.

4%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$125 Vol.

4%

Arthur Fery

$10 Vol.

4%

Casper Ruud

$391 Vol.

4%

Ugo Humbert

$238 Vol.

3%

Luciano Darderi

$110 Vol.

3%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$162 Vol.

3%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$177 Vol.

3%

Francisco Cerundolo

$1,451 Vol.

3%

Alexander Bublik

$206 Vol.

2%

Andrey Rublev

$121 Vol.

2%

Mariano Navone

$252 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, and Carlos Alcaraz have secured qualification for the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin based on their positions in the PIF ATP Live Race to Turin. Zverev leads with strong results including his Roland Garros and US Open titles, followed by Sinner and the recently clinched Alcaraz, who benefits from a 26-4 record and Australian Open success despite a wrist injury limiting his schedule. Ben Shelton surged to third after reaching his first major final at the US Open, while Frances Tiafoe climbed to sixth with a semifinal run and Cincinnati final. Flavio Cobolli, Arthur Fils, and Daniil Medvedev currently occupy the remaining top-eight spots heading into the Asian swing and Paris Masters, where points from Shanghai and other events will determine final qualification amid tight margins for players like Rafael Jodar, Taylor Fritz, and Tommy Paul.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,201
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, and Carlos Alcaraz have secured qualification for the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin based on their positions in the PIF ATP Live Race to Turin. Zverev leads with strong results including his Roland Garros and US Open titles, followed by Sinner and the recently clinched Alcaraz, who benefits from a 26-4 record and Australian Open success despite a wrist injury limiting his schedule. Ben Shelton surged to third after reaching his first major final at the US Open, while Frances Tiafoe climbed to sixth with a semifinal run and Cincinnati final. Flavio Cobolli, Arthur Fils, and Daniil Medvedev currently occupy the remaining top-eight spots heading into the Asian swing and Paris Masters, where points from Shanghai and other events will determine final qualification amid tight margins for players like Rafael Jodar, Taylor Fritz, and Tommy Paul.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,201
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben Shelton" at 97%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" has generated $27.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is "Ben Shelton" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.