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Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?

$14,277,061 Vol.

Oct 20, 2025

Pierre Poilievre 54%

Mark Carney 47%

Chrystia Freeland <1%

Jagmeet Singh <1%

JanFebMar0%20%40%60%80%100%

Source: Polymarket.com

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

Additional context

Updated Jan 14

Mark Carney has been added as an option to this market.

The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

$14,277,061

End Date

Oct 20, 2025

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Mark Carney

Amount

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