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Elections·Global Elections

Next President of Vietnam

icon for Next President of Vietnam
Elections·Global Elections

Next President of Vietnam

Tô Lâm 100.0%

Lương Cường <1%

Phan Văn Giang <1%

Trần Cẩm Tú <1%

Polymarket

$32,018,742 Vol.

Tô Lâm 100.0%

Lương Cường <1%

Phan Văn Giang <1%

Trần Cẩm Tú <1%

Polymarket

$32,018,742 Vol.

icon for Lương Cường

Lương Cường

$2,534,218 Vol.

No

icon for Phan Văn Giang

Phan Văn Giang

$2,697,079 Vol.

No

icon for Tô Lâm

Tô Lâm

$4,348,032 Vol.

Yes

icon for Trần Cẩm Tú

Trần Cẩm Tú

$2,754,865 Vol.

No

icon for Nguyễn Duy Ngọc

Nguyễn Duy Ngọc

$1,285,990 Vol.

No

icon for Phạm Minh Chính

Phạm Minh Chính

$15,557,300 Vol.

No

icon for Trần Thanh Mẫn

Trần Thanh Mẫn

$2,841,256 Vol.

No

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vietnam's National Assembly elected Tô Lâm as State President for the 2026-2031 term during the first session of its 16th legislature on April 7, 2026, following the March legislative elections where the Communist Party of Vietnam secured nearly all seats. As the re-elected CPV General Secretary since January 2026, Tô Lâm's selection aligns with party consensus in Vietnam's one-party system, where the Assembly's vote formalizes leadership transitions. Traders price him at full certainty, reflecting the oath-taking ceremony and absence of challenges. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented developments like a party reversal, health crisis, or procedural invalidation, none of which have surfaced.

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.

If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,018,742
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vietnam's National Assembly elected Tô Lâm as State President for the 2026-2031 term during the first session of its 16th legislature on April 7, 2026, following the March legislative elections where the Communist Party of Vietnam secured nearly all seats. As the re-elected CPV General Secretary since January 2026, Tô Lâm's selection aligns with party consensus in Vietnam's one-party system, where the Assembly's vote formalizes leadership transitions. Traders price him at full certainty, reflecting the oath-taking ceremony and absence of challenges. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented developments like a party reversal, health crisis, or procedural invalidation, none of which have surfaced.

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.

If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,018,742
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next President of Vietnam" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tô Lâm" at 100%, followed by "Lương Cường" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next President of Vietnam" has generated $32 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next President of Vietnam," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next President of Vietnam" is "Tô Lâm" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lương Cường" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next President of Vietnam" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.