Recent primaries confirmed Republican Kelly Ayotte as the gubernatorial nominee and set up Democrat Chris Pappas against Republican John Sununu for the open Senate seat. Polling averages show Ayotte holding a consistent double-digit lead in the governor’s race, reflecting strong incumbent support and structural advantages for Republicans in that contest. The Senate matchup remains tight, with recent surveys placing Pappas and Sununu within a few points amid New Hampshire’s history of divided outcomes. This dynamic drives trader consensus toward Republican retention of the governorship paired with a Democratic Senate hold, while the lower probabilities assigned to sweeps reflect the limited crossover appeal evident in current head-to-head data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedReps win Gov, Dems win Senate 75%
Reps sweep 18%
Dems sweep 7%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 2.3%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
75%
Reps sweep
18%
Dems sweep
7%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
2%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 75%
Reps sweep 18%
Dems sweep 7%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 2.3%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
75%
Reps sweep
18%
Dems sweep
7%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
2%
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primaries confirmed Republican Kelly Ayotte as the gubernatorial nominee and set up Democrat Chris Pappas against Republican John Sununu for the open Senate seat. Polling averages show Ayotte holding a consistent double-digit lead in the governor’s race, reflecting strong incumbent support and structural advantages for Republicans in that contest. The Senate matchup remains tight, with recent surveys placing Pappas and Sununu within a few points amid New Hampshire’s history of divided outcomes. This dynamic drives trader consensus toward Republican retention of the governorship paired with a Democratic Senate hold, while the lower probabilities assigned to sweeps reflect the limited crossover appeal evident in current head-to-head data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions