Incumbent Alma Adams holds a commanding lead in the NC-12 general election due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+26 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles. Adams secured her party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and benefits from established name recognition, committee roles, and substantial fundraising. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced from his primary but faces limited resources and operates in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.6 percent for Adams aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate low likelihood of such changes before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-12 House Election Winner
NC-12 House Election Winner
$66,266 Vol.
$66,266 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Alma Adams (D)
97%
Jack Codiga (R)
2%
$66,266 Vol.
$66,266 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Alma Adams (D)
$17,082 Vol.
97%
Jack Codiga (R)
$49,184 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Alma Adams holds a commanding lead in the NC-12 general election due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+26 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles. Adams secured her party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and benefits from established name recognition, committee roles, and substantial fundraising. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced from his primary but faces limited resources and operates in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.6 percent for Adams aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate low likelihood of such changes before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$66,266End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Alma Adams holds a commanding lead in the NC-12 general election due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+26 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles. Adams secured her party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and benefits from established name recognition, committee roles, and substantial fundraising. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced from his primary but faces limited resources and operates in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.6 percent for Adams aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate low likelihood of such changes before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$66,266End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Alma Adams holds a commanding lead in the NC-12 general election due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+26 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles. Adams secured her party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and benefits from established name recognition, committee roles, and substantial fundraising. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced from his primary but faces limited resources and operates in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.6 percent for Adams aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate low likelihood of such changes before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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