Don Davis holds the lead in trader pricing for the NC-01 House seat due to his incumbency advantage, moderate voting record, and recent polling showing narrow leads or ties despite the district's Republican tilt. The seat was redrawn in late 2025 to add coastal counties and shift its baseline toward Republicans, creating a tougher map for the Democrat. Laurie Buckhout, the Republican nominee and 2024 rematch candidate, benefits from the new lines and strong primary performance but trails in September surveys such as the GBAO poll. Fundraising remains competitive, with both candidates exceeding $3.7 million raised. The November 3 general election timing and any late shifts in national conditions could still influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Don Davis (D)
64%
Laurie Buckhout (R)
38%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Don Davis (D)
$580 Vol.
64%
Laurie Buckhout (R)
$1,282 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Don Davis holds the lead in trader pricing for the NC-01 House seat due to his incumbency advantage, moderate voting record, and recent polling showing narrow leads or ties despite the district's Republican tilt. The seat was redrawn in late 2025 to add coastal counties and shift its baseline toward Republicans, creating a tougher map for the Democrat. Laurie Buckhout, the Republican nominee and 2024 rematch candidate, benefits from the new lines and strong primary performance but trails in September surveys such as the GBAO poll. Fundraising remains competitive, with both candidates exceeding $3.7 million raised. The November 3 general election timing and any late shifts in national conditions could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$1,862End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Don Davis holds the lead in trader pricing for the NC-01 House seat due to his incumbency advantage, moderate voting record, and recent polling showing narrow leads or ties despite the district's Republican tilt. The seat was redrawn in late 2025 to add coastal counties and shift its baseline toward Republicans, creating a tougher map for the Democrat. Laurie Buckhout, the Republican nominee and 2024 rematch candidate, benefits from the new lines and strong primary performance but trails in September surveys such as the GBAO poll. Fundraising remains competitive, with both candidates exceeding $3.7 million raised. The November 3 general election timing and any late shifts in national conditions could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,862End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Don Davis holds the lead in trader pricing for the NC-01 House seat due to his incumbency advantage, moderate voting record, and recent polling showing narrow leads or ties despite the district's Republican tilt. The seat was redrawn in late 2025 to add coastal counties and shift its baseline toward Republicans, creating a tougher map for the Democrat. Laurie Buckhout, the Republican nominee and 2024 rematch candidate, benefits from the new lines and strong primary performance but trails in September surveys such as the GBAO poll. Fundraising remains competitive, with both candidates exceeding $3.7 million raised. The November 3 general election timing and any late shifts in national conditions could still influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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