Microsoft's fiscal third-quarter results, released April 29, delivered revenue of $82.9 billion, up 18 percent year over year, and operating income of $38.4 billion, exceeding consensus estimates and underscoring continued strength in Microsoft Cloud and AI infrastructure spending. Shares have since traded in a range near $417 to $421, reflecting tempered momentum amid broader tech-sector rotation and investor caution over elevated AI capital expenditures. With the May 20 close approaching, traders are monitoring intraday price action around current levels near $421, as any sustained move above key resistance could hinge on end-of-day volume and macroeconomic sentiment into the close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2,890 Vol.
May 20, 2026
$400
Yes
$410
Yes
$420
Yes
$430
No
$440
No
$2,890 Vol.
$400
$255 Vol.
Yes
$410
$1,462 Vol.
Yes
$420
$857 Vol.
Yes
$430
$161 Vol.
No
$440
$155 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 20 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft's fiscal third-quarter results, released April 29, delivered revenue of $82.9 billion, up 18 percent year over year, and operating income of $38.4 billion, exceeding consensus estimates and underscoring continued strength in Microsoft Cloud and AI infrastructure spending. Shares have since traded in a range near $417 to $421, reflecting tempered momentum amid broader tech-sector rotation and investor caution over elevated AI capital expenditures. With the May 20 close approaching, traders are monitoring intraday price action around current levels near $421, as any sustained move above key resistance could hinge on end-of-day volume and macroeconomic sentiment into the close.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 20 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$2,890End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 20 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft's fiscal third-quarter results, released April 29, delivered revenue of $82.9 billion, up 18 percent year over year, and operating income of $38.4 billion, exceeding consensus estimates and underscoring continued strength in Microsoft Cloud and AI infrastructure spending. Shares have since traded in a range near $417 to $421, reflecting tempered momentum amid broader tech-sector rotation and investor caution over elevated AI capital expenditures. With the May 20 close approaching, traders are monitoring intraday price action around current levels near $421, as any sustained move above key resistance could hinge on end-of-day volume and macroeconomic sentiment into the close.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 20 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$2,890End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Microsoft's fiscal third-quarter results, released April 29, delivered revenue of $82.9 billion, up 18 percent year over year, and operating income of $38.4 billion, exceeding consensus estimates and underscoring continued strength in Microsoft Cloud and AI infrastructure spending. Shares have since traded in a range near $417 to $421, reflecting tempered momentum amid broader tech-sector rotation and investor caution over elevated AI capital expenditures. With the May 20 close approaching, traders are monitoring intraday price action around current levels near $421, as any sustained move above key resistance could hinge on end-of-day volume and macroeconomic sentiment into the close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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