Zack Wheeler leads NL Comeback Player of the Year betting at 70.5% implied probability due to his dominant return from thoracic outlet syndrome surgery that sidelined him for the end of 2025 and the start of 2026. The Phillies right-hander debuted April 25 and has posted a career-best sub-2.20 ERA across 15-plus starts with elite strikeout and WHIP rates, anchoring the rotation and earning Cy Young consideration. Sandy Alcantara sits second at 16% on the strength of his 13-6 record and 3.52 ERA in 25 starts, while Brandon Woodruff, Michael Harris II, and Tanner Scott trail further behind amid more modest rebounds from prior injuries or slumps. Trader consensus reflects Wheeler's consistent excellence and the limited comparable narratives among other candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZack Wheeler 71%
Sandy Alcantara 11%
Tanner Scott 5.3%
Brandon Woodruff 4.8%
$148,698 Vol.
$148,698 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
71%
Sandy Alcantara
15%
Tanner Scott
5%
Brandon Woodruff
5%
Michael Harris II
4%
O'Neil Cruz
1%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
Zack Wheeler 71%
Sandy Alcantara 11%
Tanner Scott 5.3%
Brandon Woodruff 4.8%
$148,698 Vol.
$148,698 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
71%
Sandy Alcantara
15%
Tanner Scott
5%
Brandon Woodruff
5%
Michael Harris II
4%
O'Neil Cruz
1%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zack Wheeler leads NL Comeback Player of the Year betting at 70.5% implied probability due to his dominant return from thoracic outlet syndrome surgery that sidelined him for the end of 2025 and the start of 2026. The Phillies right-hander debuted April 25 and has posted a career-best sub-2.20 ERA across 15-plus starts with elite strikeout and WHIP rates, anchoring the rotation and earning Cy Young consideration. Sandy Alcantara sits second at 16% on the strength of his 13-6 record and 3.52 ERA in 25 starts, while Brandon Woodruff, Michael Harris II, and Tanner Scott trail further behind amid more modest rebounds from prior injuries or slumps. Trader consensus reflects Wheeler's consistent excellence and the limited comparable narratives among other candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions