Zack Wheeler leads NL Comeback Player of the Year betting at 70% implied probability after missing the end of the 2025 season and the start of 2026 for thoracic outlet syndrome surgery. He returned in late April with velocity intact and has posted a career-best sub-2.20 ERA over 15 starts, anchoring the Phillies rotation and generating Cy Young buzz. Sandy Alcantara sits second at 15% following his own Tommy John recovery path and a 13-6 record with a 3.52 ERA in 2026, though his prior struggles limit momentum. Contenders such as Michael Harris II, Brandon Woodruff, and Tanner Scott trail due to less pronounced injury comebacks or inconsistent recent production, with market pricing reflecting Wheeler’s dominant first-half form and the award’s emphasis on prior-year absences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZack Wheeler 70%
Sandy Alcantara 11%
Tanner Scott 5.3%
Brandon Woodruff 4.7%
$148,714 Vol.
$148,714 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
70%
Sandy Alcantara
15%
Tanner Scott
5%
Brandon Woodruff
5%
Michael Harris II
4%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
O'Neil Cruz
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
Zack Wheeler 70%
Sandy Alcantara 11%
Tanner Scott 5.3%
Brandon Woodruff 4.7%
$148,714 Vol.
$148,714 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
70%
Sandy Alcantara
15%
Tanner Scott
5%
Brandon Woodruff
5%
Michael Harris II
4%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
O'Neil Cruz
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zack Wheeler leads NL Comeback Player of the Year betting at 70% implied probability after missing the end of the 2025 season and the start of 2026 for thoracic outlet syndrome surgery. He returned in late April with velocity intact and has posted a career-best sub-2.20 ERA over 15 starts, anchoring the Phillies rotation and generating Cy Young buzz. Sandy Alcantara sits second at 15% following his own Tommy John recovery path and a 13-6 record with a 3.52 ERA in 2026, though his prior struggles limit momentum. Contenders such as Michael Harris II, Brandon Woodruff, and Tanner Scott trail due to less pronounced injury comebacks or inconsistent recent production, with market pricing reflecting Wheeler’s dominant first-half form and the award’s emphasis on prior-year absences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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