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Sports·Baseball

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

icon for MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
Sports·Baseball

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

Tampa Bay Rays 37.1%

Cincinnati Reds 23.6%

Cleveland Guardians 22.1%

Detroit Tigers 22.0%

Polymarket

$1,282,062 Vol.

Tampa Bay Rays 37.1%

Cincinnati Reds 23.6%

Cleveland Guardians 22.1%

Detroit Tigers 22.0%

Polymarket

$1,282,062 Vol.

Tampa Bay Rays

$506 Vol.

37%

Cincinnati Reds

$683 Vol.

24%

Cleveland Guardians

$370 Vol.

22%

Detroit Tigers

$152,258 Vol.

22%

Arizona Diamondbacks

$818 Vol.

22%

Baltimore Orioles

$328 Vol.

18%

Pittsburgh Pirates

$212 Vol.

8%

Los Angeles Dodgers

$2,683 Vol.

10%

Seattle Mariners

$341 Vol.

4%

Miami Marlins

$92,982 Vol.

4%

Atlanta Braves

$425 Vol.

4%

Athletics

$301 Vol.

4%

Toronto Blue Jays

$230 Vol.

4%

Los Angeles Angels

$428 Vol.

3%

Minnesota Twins

$498 Vol.

2%

Boston Red Sox

$387 Vol.

2%

Philadelphia Phillies

$556,747 Vol.

2%

New York Yankees

$1,145 Vol.

2%

Colorado Rockies

$925 Vol.

1%

Chicago Cubs

$961 Vol.

1%

St. Louis Cardinals

$453 Vol.

1%

San Diego Padres

$280 Vol.

1%

Texas Rangers

$1,103 Vol.

1%

San Francisco Giants

$384 Vol.

1%

New York Mets

$464,778 Vol.

<1%

Chicago White Sox

$328 Vol.

19%

Washington Nationals

$288 Vol.

21%

Kansas City Royals

$633 Vol.

29%

Milwaukee Brewers

$347 Vol.

34%

Houston Astros

$238 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB ABS challenge race remains tightly bunched because most clubs post success rates clustered between 48% and 61% through early August, with catchers driving the majority of successful overturns at roughly 58% league-wide compared to 48% for batters. Teams benefit from strong defensive framing behind the plate, disciplined hitter decision-making on borderline pitches, and conservative challenge usage that preserves limited per-game allotments. Diamondbacks, Athletics, and similar mid-tier clubs have posted early edges through higher-volume accuracy, while larger-market sides trail due to lower per-challenge efficiency. Roster continuity, catcher experience, and matchup-specific zone management continue to compress the field, leaving implied probabilities reflecting modest differentiation rather than separation.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,282,062
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB ABS challenge race remains tightly bunched because most clubs post success rates clustered between 48% and 61% through early August, with catchers driving the majority of successful overturns at roughly 58% league-wide compared to 48% for batters. Teams benefit from strong defensive framing behind the plate, disciplined hitter decision-making on borderline pitches, and conservative challenge usage that preserves limited per-game allotments. Diamondbacks, Athletics, and similar mid-tier clubs have posted early edges through higher-volume accuracy, while larger-market sides trail due to lower per-challenge efficiency. Roster continuity, catcher experience, and matchup-specific zone management continue to compress the field, leaving implied probabilities reflecting modest differentiation rather than separation.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,282,062
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tampa Bay Rays" at 37%, followed by "Milwaukee Brewers" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is "Tampa Bay Rays" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Milwaukee Brewers" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.