Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson holds a consistent polling lead averaging around seven points over Republican U.S. Rep. John James in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Benson secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the August 4 primary, while James prevailed in a competitive Republican contest. Recent surveys through early September show Benson at roughly 50 percent support among likely voters against James near 42 percent, reflecting the state's recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests despite the narrow Republican presidential win in 2024. Traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee aligns with these aggregates and the structural advantages of an experienced statewide officeholder in a battleground state. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDemocrat 90%
Republican 11%
Independent <1%
$203,774 Vol.
$203,774 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
11%
Independent
<1%
Democrat 90%
Republican 11%
Independent <1%
$203,774 Vol.
$203,774 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$48,528 Vol.
90%
Republican
$154,493 Vol.
11%
Independent
$753 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson holds a consistent polling lead averaging around seven points over Republican U.S. Rep. John James in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Benson secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the August 4 primary, while James prevailed in a competitive Republican contest. Recent surveys through early September show Benson at roughly 50 percent support among likely voters against James near 42 percent, reflecting the state's recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests despite the narrow Republican presidential win in 2024. Traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee aligns with these aggregates and the structural advantages of an experienced statewide officeholder in a battleground state. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$203,774End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson holds a consistent polling lead averaging around seven points over Republican U.S. Rep. John James in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Benson secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the August 4 primary, while James prevailed in a competitive Republican contest. Recent surveys through early September show Benson at roughly 50 percent support among likely voters against James near 42 percent, reflecting the state's recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests despite the narrow Republican presidential win in 2024. Traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee aligns with these aggregates and the structural advantages of an experienced statewide officeholder in a battleground state. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$203,774End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson holds a consistent polling lead averaging around seven points over Republican U.S. Rep. John James in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Benson secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the August 4 primary, while James prevailed in a competitive Republican contest. Recent surveys through early September show Benson at roughly 50 percent support among likely voters against James near 42 percent, reflecting the state's recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests despite the narrow Republican presidential win in 2024. Traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee aligns with these aggregates and the structural advantages of an experienced statewide officeholder in a battleground state. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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