Recent national polls for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election show Morena holding a wide lead in voter intention, typically 35–47 percent, while PAN registers the highest support among opposition parties at 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI and MC. PAN’s consistent polling edge, territorial organization, and decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with PRI have consolidated trader expectations that it will finish second. PRI’s lower and declining shares, coupled with internal difficulties, have reduced its implied probability. MC remains competitive in select surveys but trails PAN in most aggregates. PVEM and PT, aligned with Morena, register lower standalone figures. The formal start of the 2026–2027 electoral process in September has not altered these relative positions among the main parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 76%
PRI 15.9%
PVEM 6%
MC 1.6%
$83,876 Vol.
$83,876 Vol.
Jun 5, 2027
PAN
76%
PRI
16%
PT
<1%
PVEM
6%
MC
2%
Morena
<1%
PAN 76%
PRI 15.9%
PVEM 6%
MC 1.6%
$83,876 Vol.
$83,876 Vol.
Jun 5, 2027
PAN
$38,456 Vol.
76%
PRI
$14,523 Vol.
16%
PT
$8,011 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$12,988 Vol.
6%
MC
$4,617 Vol.
2%
Morena
$5,281 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Recent national polls for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election show Morena holding a wide lead in voter intention, typically 35–47 percent, while PAN registers the highest support among opposition parties at 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI and MC. PAN’s consistent polling edge, territorial organization, and decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with PRI have consolidated trader expectations that it will finish second. PRI’s lower and declining shares, coupled with internal difficulties, have reduced its implied probability. MC remains competitive in select surveys but trails PAN in most aggregates. PVEM and PT, aligned with Morena, register lower standalone figures. The formal start of the 2026–2027 electoral process in September has not altered these relative positions among the main parties.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$83,876End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Recent national polls for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election show Morena holding a wide lead in voter intention, typically 35–47 percent, while PAN registers the highest support among opposition parties at 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI and MC. PAN’s consistent polling edge, territorial organization, and decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with PRI have consolidated trader expectations that it will finish second. PRI’s lower and declining shares, coupled with internal difficulties, have reduced its implied probability. MC remains competitive in select surveys but trails PAN in most aggregates. PVEM and PT, aligned with Morena, register lower standalone figures. The formal start of the 2026–2027 electoral process in September has not altered these relative positions among the main parties.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$83,876End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election show Morena holding a wide lead in voter intention, typically 35–47 percent, while PAN registers the highest support among opposition parties at 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI and MC. PAN’s consistent polling edge, territorial organization, and decision to contest the election independently after ending its prior alliance with PRI have consolidated trader expectations that it will finish second. PRI’s lower and declining shares, coupled with internal difficulties, have reduced its implied probability. MC remains competitive in select surveys but trails PAN in most aggregates. PVEM and PT, aligned with Morena, register lower standalone figures. The formal start of the 2026–2027 electoral process in September has not altered these relative positions among the main parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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