The September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election produced preliminary results placing the AfD at 38.2 percent, more than double its 2021 share and well clear of the 35 percent mark. Consistent pre-election polling from institutes such as Infratest dimap and INSA had shown the party anchored in the mid-to-high 30s for months, reflecting sustained voter support in the eastern state. The SPD placed second at 35.5 percent while smaller parties including the CDU fell below the five percent threshold. With final official tallies still pending, the wide margin makes any reversal of the statewide outcome highly unlikely. Limited remaining uncertainty could arise only from narrow adjustments in district-level counts or procedural challenges, though historical precedent indicates these seldom shift overall percentages enough to cross the 35 percent line.