**The Maynas provincial mayoral race in Loreto, Peru, remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field where no candidate has consolidated a clear lead.** Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo (Somos Perú) holds the highest market share near 50%, while Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes (Fuerza Popular) sits around 33% and several others trail in single digits. Recent August 2026 polling shows Boris leading some surveys (26–34%) over Roger (21%), with Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez (APP) and others splitting the remainder, consistent with the multi-candidate dynamic typical of Peruvian municipal contests. Vote fragmentation across parties with roots in prior cycles—Somos Perú’s incumbency-linked base, Fujimorista support, and regional movements—keeps probabilities compressed, as small shifts in turnout or undecided voters (often 20–30% in local surveys) can alter outcomes. No major late-breaking events such as candidate withdrawals, high-profile endorsements, or scandals have emerged in the past month to widen gaps. Scheduled factors like final campaign pushes, debates, or October 4 turnout in the 394,000 registered electorate could still shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaynas Mayoral Election Winner
Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo 51%
Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes 32.8%
Ernesto Concha La Torre 6.4%
Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez 5%
$18,667 Vol.
$18,667 Vol.

Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo
51%

Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes
33%

Ernesto Concha La Torre
6%

Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez
5%

Deiby Marín Ortega
4%

Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez
4%

Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez
4%

Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales
2%

Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano
2%

Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila
2%

Juan Aguilar Gómez
1%

Nery Mozombite Cerrón
1%

Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar
1%

Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas
1%

Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez
1%

Jean Pier López Sifuentes
1%

Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas
<1%

Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo
<1%

Cleiver Inuma Chávez
<1%
Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo 51%
Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes 32.8%
Ernesto Concha La Torre 6.4%
Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez 5%
$18,667 Vol.
$18,667 Vol.

Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo
51%

Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes
33%

Ernesto Concha La Torre
6%

Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez
5%

Deiby Marín Ortega
4%

Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez
4%

Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez
4%

Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales
2%

Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano
2%

Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila
2%

Juan Aguilar Gómez
1%

Nery Mozombite Cerrón
1%

Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar
1%

Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas
1%

Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez
1%

Jean Pier López Sifuentes
1%

Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas
<1%

Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo
<1%

Cleiver Inuma Chávez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Maynas provincial mayoral race in Loreto, Peru, remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field where no candidate has consolidated a clear lead.** Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo (Somos Perú) holds the highest market share near 50%, while Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes (Fuerza Popular) sits around 33% and several others trail in single digits. Recent August 2026 polling shows Boris leading some surveys (26–34%) over Roger (21%), with Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez (APP) and others splitting the remainder, consistent with the multi-candidate dynamic typical of Peruvian municipal contests. Vote fragmentation across parties with roots in prior cycles—Somos Perú’s incumbency-linked base, Fujimorista support, and regional movements—keeps probabilities compressed, as small shifts in turnout or undecided voters (often 20–30% in local surveys) can alter outcomes. No major late-breaking events such as candidate withdrawals, high-profile endorsements, or scandals have emerged in the past month to widen gaps. Scheduled factors like final campaign pushes, debates, or October 4 turnout in the 394,000 registered electorate could still shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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