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Sports·WTA

2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner

icon for 2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner
Sports·WTA

2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner

Alina Charaeva 99%

Sinja Kraus 99%

Daria Snigur 99%

Hailey Baptiste 98%

Polymarket
NEW

Alina Charaeva 99%

Sinja Kraus 99%

Daria Snigur 99%

Hailey Baptiste 98%

Polymarket
NEW

Alina Charaeva

$0 Vol.

99%

Sinja Kraus

$0 Vol.

99%

Daria Snigur

$0 Vol.

99%

Hailey Baptiste

$0 Vol.

98%

Jaqueline Cristian

$0 Vol.

98%

Sofia Kenin

$0 Vol.

98%

Camila Osorio

$0 Vol.

98%

Yulia Putintseva

$0 Vol.

98%

Solana Sierra

$0 Vol.

98%

Peyton Stearns

$0 Vol.

98%

Ann Li

$0 Vol.

98%

Xinyu Wang

$0 Vol.

98%

Jelena Ostapenko

$0 Vol.

93%

Katie Boulter

$0 Vol.

92%

Anna Kalinskaya

$0 Vol.

92%

Katerina Siniaková

$0 Vol.

92%

Shuai Zhang

$0 Vol.

92%

Janice Tjen

$0 Vol.

85%

Kaitlin Quevedo

$0 Vol.

62%

Tyra Caterina Grant

$0 Vol.

62%

Laura Samson

$0 Vol.

62%

Anhelina Kalinina

$0 Vol.

59%

Yuliia Starodubtseva

$0 Vol.

59%

Panna Udvardy

$0 Vol.

59%

Simona Waltert

$0 Vol.

57%

Anna Bondar

$0 Vol.

54%

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

$0 Vol.

54%

Marie Bouzková

$0 Vol.

54%

Alexandra Eala

$0 Vol.

54%

Magdalena Frech

$0 Vol.

54%

Leolia Jeanjean

$0 Vol.

54%

Petra Marcinko

$0 Vol.

54%

Elena-Gabriela Ruse

$0 Vol.

54%

Emiliana Arango

$0 Vol.

54%

Magda Linette

$0 Vol.

54%

Alycia Parks

$0 Vol.

54%

Karolina Pliskova

$0 Vol.

53%

Laura Siegemund

$0 Vol.

51%

Julia Grabher

$0 Vol.

51%

Zeynep Sonmez

$0 Vol.

50%

Mirra Andreeva

$39 Vol.

50%

Liudmila Samsonova

$0 Vol.

48%

Elvina Kalieva

$0 Vol.

46%

Cristina Bucsa

$0 Vol.

45%

Aryna Sabalenka

$764 Vol.

34%

Clara Tauson

$13 Vol.

27%

Dalma Galfi

$0 Vol.

27%

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

$41 Vol.

26%

Sorana Cîrstea

$39 Vol.

26%

Elise Mertens

$39 Vol.

26%

Linda Noskova

$39 Vol.

26%

Maria Sakkari

$39 Vol.

26%

Marta Kostyuk

$39 Vol.

26%

Caty McNally

$39 Vol.

26%

Qinwen Zheng

$26 Vol.

26%

Victoria Mboko

$0 Vol.

25%

Diana Shnaider

$13 Vol.

25%

Jessica Pegula

$54 Vol.

23%

Jasmine Paolini

$0 Vol.

20%

Naomi Osaka

$0 Vol.

20%

Iva Jovic

$0 Vol.

20%

Leylah Fernandez

$0 Vol.

20%

Belinda Bencic

$4 Vol.

20%

Iga Swiatek

$0 Vol.

20%

Elina Svitolina

$26 Vol.

17%

Elena Rybakina

$103 Vol.

16%

Coco Gauff

$68 Vol.

5%

Madison Keys

$119 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the Mutua Madrid Open main draw in its second round amid the clay-court swing, trader consensus bunches implied probabilities tightly around 49.5% for Mirra Andreeva, Alina Charaeva, Sinja Kraus, Emiliana Arango, and others due to a depleted field from over 20 pre-tournament withdrawals—including Amanda Anisimova's last-minute wrist injury pullout—and early upsets like Camila Osorio's 6-0, 6-3 rout of Naomi Osaka, Leylah Fernandez over Paula Badosa, and Kaitlin Quevedo upsetting Venus Williams. Andreeva, fresh off upsetting Iga Świątek in Stuttgart, advanced past Panna Udvardy, while qualifiers like Kraus and Arango carry momentum on the high-altitude red clay, fostering a closely contested race with no clear path for top seed Aryna Sabalenka despite her straight-sets opener.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,758
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the Mutua Madrid Open main draw in its second round amid the clay-court swing, trader consensus bunches implied probabilities tightly around 49.5% for Mirra Andreeva, Alina Charaeva, Sinja Kraus, Emiliana Arango, and others due to a depleted field from over 20 pre-tournament withdrawals—including Amanda Anisimova's last-minute wrist injury pullout—and early upsets like Camila Osorio's 6-0, 6-3 rout of Naomi Osaka, Leylah Fernandez over Paula Badosa, and Kaitlin Quevedo upsetting Venus Williams. Andreeva, fresh off upsetting Iga Świątek in Stuttgart, advanced past Panna Udvardy, while qualifiers like Kraus and Arango carry momentum on the high-altitude red clay, fostering a closely contested race with no clear path for top seed Aryna Sabalenka despite her straight-sets opener.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,758
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 99+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alina Charaeva" at 50%, followed by "Sinja Kraus" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner," browse the 99+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner" is "Alina Charaeva" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sinja Kraus" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.