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Sports·Madrid Open

2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner

Market icon
Sports·Madrid Open

2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner

Čilić, Marin 98%

Darderi, Luciano 98%

de Jong, Jesper 98%

Baez, Sebastian 98%

Polymarket
NEW

Čilić, Marin 98%

Darderi, Luciano 98%

de Jong, Jesper 98%

Baez, Sebastian 98%

Polymarket
NEW

Čilić, Marin

$0 Vol.

98%

Darderi, Luciano

$0 Vol.

98%

de Jong, Jesper

$0 Vol.

98%

Baez, Sebastian

$0 Vol.

98%

Buse, Ignacio

$0 Vol.

98%

Cerúndolo, Francisco

$0 Vol.

98%

Diallo, Gabriel

$0 Vol.

98%

Fearnley, Jacob

$0 Vol.

98%

Fonseca, João

$0 Vol.

98%

Landaluce, Martín

$0 Vol.

98%

Macháč, Tomáš

$0 Vol.

98%

Menšík, Jakub

$0 Vol.

98%

Monfils, Gaël

$0 Vol.

98%

Musetti, Lorenzo

$0 Vol.

98%

Ofner, Sebastian

$0 Vol.

98%

Paul, Tommy

$0 Vol.

98%

Rublev, Andrey

$0 Vol.

98%

Auger-Aliassime, Félix

$0 Vol.

98%

Bublik, Alexander

$0 Vol.

98%

Carreño Busta, Pablo

$0 Vol.

98%

Cerundolo, Juan Manuel

$0 Vol.

98%

Cobolli, Flavio

$0 Vol.

98%

Comesaña, Francisco

$0 Vol.

98%

Davidovich Fokina, Alejandro

$0 Vol.

98%

Griekspoor, Tallon

$0 Vol.

98%

Humbert, Ugo

$0 Vol.

98%

Jódar, Rafael

$0 Vol.

98%

Kopřiva, Vít

$0 Vol.

98%

Lehečka, Jiří

$0 Vol.

98%

Mannarino, Adrian

$0 Vol.

98%

Michelsen, Alex

$0 Vol.

98%

Moutet, Corentin

$0 Vol.

98%

Munar, Jaume

$0 Vol.

98%

Norrie, Cameron

$0 Vol.

98%

Opelka, Reilly

$0 Vol.

98%

Popyrin, Alexei

$0 Vol.

98%

Struff, Jan-Lennard

$0 Vol.

98%

Tien, Learner

$0 Vol.

98%

Vacherot, Valentin

$0 Vol.

98%

Walton, Adam

$0 Vol.

98%

Džumhur, Damir

$0 Vol.

98%

Hanfmann, Yannick

$0 Vol.

98%

Hurkacz, Hubert

$0 Vol.

98%

Khachanov, Karen

$0 Vol.

98%

Marozsan, Fabian

$0 Vol.

98%

Müller, Alexandre

$0 Vol.

98%

Nava, Emilio

$0 Vol.

98%

Quinn, Ethan

$0 Vol.

98%

Shevchenko, Alexander

$0 Vol.

98%

Tabilo, Alejandro

$0 Vol.

98%

Collignon, Raphael

$0 Vol.

97%

Etcheverry, Tomás Martín

$0 Vol.

97%

Nakashima, Brandon

$0 Vol.

97%

Rinderknech, Arthur

$0 Vol.

97%

Shapovalov, Denis

$0 Vol.

97%

Sinner, Jannik

$7 Vol.

70%

Bellucci, Mattia

$0 Vol.

50%

Bergs, Zizou

$0 Vol.

50%

Brooksby, Jenson

$0 Vol.

50%

Altmaier, Daniel

$0 Vol.

50%

Bautista Agut, Roberto

$0 Vol.

50%

Berrettini, Matteo

$0 Vol.

50%

Blockx, Alexander

$0 Vol.

50%

Tsitsipas, Stefanos

$0 Vol.

50%

Sonego, Lorenzo

$0 Vol.

50%

Tirante, Thiago Agustín

$0 Vol.

50%

Ugo Carabelli, Camilo

$0 Vol.

50%

van de Zandschulp, Botic

$0 Vol.

50%

Zhang, Zhizhen

$0 Vol.

50%

Atmane, Terence

$0 Vol.

49%

Zverev, Alexander

$0 Vol.

49%

Dimitrov, Grigor

$0 Vol.

25%

Fils, Arthur

$0 Vol.

25%

Medvedev, Daniil

$0 Vol.

25%

de Minaur, Alex

$0 Vol.

25%

Shelton, Ben

$0 Vol.

23%

Ruud, Casper

$0 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability as world No. 1 and top seed following his breakthrough Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters title last week, where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6(5), 6-3 in the final for his first clay-court Masters 1000 crown. Alcaraz's injury withdrawal opens Sinner's path on the high-altitude clay at Caja Magica, bolstered by his 73% career clay win rate and recent dominance in deciding sets. Challengers like Arthur Fils (49.4%), fresh off a Barcelona title run, Grigor Dimitrov (49.3%), Ben Shelton (49.2%) with strong clay momentum, and Daniil Medvedev (49.1%) cluster around 49% due to favorable seeding, recent form, and draw positions amid a wide-open field post-draw release on April 20, though all face hurdles against Sinner's serving edge and baseline prowess.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability as world No. 1 and top seed following his breakthrough Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters title last week, where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6(5), 6-3 in the final for his first clay-court Masters 1000 crown. Alcaraz's injury withdrawal opens Sinner's path on the high-altitude clay at Caja Magica, bolstered by his 73% career clay win rate and recent dominance in deciding sets. Challengers like Arthur Fils (49.4%), fresh off a Barcelona title run, Grigor Dimitrov (49.3%), Ben Shelton (49.2%) with strong clay momentum, and Daniil Medvedev (49.1%) cluster around 49% due to favorable seeding, recent form, and draw positions amid a wide-open field post-draw release on April 20, though all face hurdles against Sinner's serving edge and baseline prowess.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 77+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sinner, Jannik" at 70%, followed by "Čilić, Marin" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner," browse the 77+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" is "Sinner, Jannik" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Čilić, Marin" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.