Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for Zhengzhou on September 14, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions, light southerly winds, and dew points around 15–18°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 17–18°C and recent observational trends showing no strong cold air advection or anomalous high-pressure strengthening. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on this outcome, with the modest probability assigned to 16°C or below accounting for potential minor downward revisions in final measurements or localized microclimate effects, while higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs and official station data through the evening will determine resolution.