**Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate Warsaw’s overnight minimum on October 7 will likely settle between 7–9°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds.** Radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity (dew points near 10°C) and limited clear-sky periods, preventing deeper drops below 6°C while also capping any rebound above 9°C. Recent southerly flow has kept the region milder than the long-term October average, but a gradual cooling trend and reduced mixing overnight tighten the range. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management observations, updated hourly through the night, will determine exact resolution as model consensus remains close.
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