Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a 24°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 17, anchoring the market's near-100% consensus on that exact outcome. Persistent high humidity near 75%, light winds, and overnight cloud cover with scattered showers have suppressed radiational cooling, keeping nighttime lows aligned with the late-summer climatological baseline around 23–24°C. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical of the East Asian monsoon, have reinforced trader confidence that the official Incheon station reading will resolve at 24°C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected surge in northerly flow could enhance overnight heat loss and push the low lower, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$15,852 Vol.
$15,852 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$15,852 Vol.
$15,852 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
18°C or below
$341 Vol.
No
19°C
$346 Vol.
No
20°C
$387 Vol.
No
21°C
$869 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,005 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,595 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,123 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$2,987 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,305 Vol.
No
27°C
$577 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$316 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a 24°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 17, anchoring the market's near-100% consensus on that exact outcome. Persistent high humidity near 75%, light winds, and overnight cloud cover with scattered showers have suppressed radiational cooling, keeping nighttime lows aligned with the late-summer climatological baseline around 23–24°C. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical of the East Asian monsoon, have reinforced trader confidence that the official Incheon station reading will resolve at 24°C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected surge in northerly flow could enhance overnight heat loss and push the low lower, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$15,852End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a 24°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 17, anchoring the market's near-100% consensus on that exact outcome. Persistent high humidity near 75%, light winds, and overnight cloud cover with scattered showers have suppressed radiational cooling, keeping nighttime lows aligned with the late-summer climatological baseline around 23–24°C. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical of the East Asian monsoon, have reinforced trader confidence that the official Incheon station reading will resolve at 24°C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected surge in northerly flow could enhance overnight heat loss and push the low lower, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,852End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a 24°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 17, anchoring the market's near-100% consensus on that exact outcome. Persistent high humidity near 75%, light winds, and overnight cloud cover with scattered showers have suppressed radiational cooling, keeping nighttime lows aligned with the late-summer climatological baseline around 23–24°C. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical of the East Asian monsoon, have reinforced trader confidence that the official Incheon station reading will resolve at 24°C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected surge in northerly flow could enhance overnight heat loss and push the low lower, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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