Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 12, with clear skies and light winds supporting overnight radiative cooling to near that level under typical summer humidity. Real-time station data at Incheon International Airport align closely with this value, driving the market's 100% implied probability on 22°C as traders incorporate the latest model consensus and observational trends. Historical August lows in the region average around 23–24°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast cloud cover could still nudge readings lower, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions through the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 12?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$14,024 Vol.
$14,024 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$14,024 Vol.
$14,024 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
$474 Vol.
No
17°C
$465 Vol.
No
18°C
$415 Vol.
No
19°C
$894 Vol.
No
20°C
$999 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,166 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,802 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$3,131 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,762 Vol.
No
25°C
$857 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$1,059 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 12, with clear skies and light winds supporting overnight radiative cooling to near that level under typical summer humidity. Real-time station data at Incheon International Airport align closely with this value, driving the market's 100% implied probability on 22°C as traders incorporate the latest model consensus and observational trends. Historical August lows in the region average around 23–24°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast cloud cover could still nudge readings lower, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions through the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,024End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 12, with clear skies and light winds supporting overnight radiative cooling to near that level under typical summer humidity. Real-time station data at Incheon International Airport align closely with this value, driving the market's 100% implied probability on 22°C as traders incorporate the latest model consensus and observational trends. Historical August lows in the region average around 23–24°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast cloud cover could still nudge readings lower, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions through the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,024End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 12, with clear skies and light winds supporting overnight radiative cooling to near that level under typical summer humidity. Real-time station data at Incheon International Airport align closely with this value, driving the market's 100% implied probability on 22°C as traders incorporate the latest model consensus and observational trends. Historical August lows in the region average around 23–24°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast cloud cover could still nudge readings lower, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions through the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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