Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts establish a minimum temperature of 24°C for Incheon on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reflects typical late-summer climatology for the Seoul-Incheon region, where average overnight lows hover near 23–24°C amid high humidity and weak steering patterns that limit nocturnal cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky radiative episodes expected to drive temperatures lower. The positioning incorporates traders’ assessment of forecast reliability near resolution, while realistic shifts—such as unexpected clearing or revised observational data—remain the primary variables that could alter the final recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$15,815 Vol.
$15,815 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$15,815 Vol.
$15,815 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
19°C or below
$485 Vol.
No
20°C
$476 Vol.
No
21°C
$584 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,113 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,663 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,794 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$2,245 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,521 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,044 Vol.
No
28°C
$443 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$446 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts establish a minimum temperature of 24°C for Incheon on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reflects typical late-summer climatology for the Seoul-Incheon region, where average overnight lows hover near 23–24°C amid high humidity and weak steering patterns that limit nocturnal cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky radiative episodes expected to drive temperatures lower. The positioning incorporates traders’ assessment of forecast reliability near resolution, while realistic shifts—such as unexpected clearing or revised observational data—remain the primary variables that could alter the final recorded low.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15,815End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts establish a minimum temperature of 24°C for Incheon on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reflects typical late-summer climatology for the Seoul-Incheon region, where average overnight lows hover near 23–24°C amid high humidity and weak steering patterns that limit nocturnal cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky radiative episodes expected to drive temperatures lower. The positioning incorporates traders’ assessment of forecast reliability near resolution, while realistic shifts—such as unexpected clearing or revised observational data—remain the primary variables that could alter the final recorded low.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,815End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts establish a minimum temperature of 24°C for Incheon on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reflects typical late-summer climatology for the Seoul-Incheon region, where average overnight lows hover near 23–24°C amid high humidity and weak steering patterns that limit nocturnal cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky radiative episodes expected to drive temperatures lower. The positioning incorporates traders’ assessment of forecast reliability near resolution, while realistic shifts—such as unexpected clearing or revised observational data—remain the primary variables that could alter the final recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions