Recent model consensus for Munich points to a daily minimum near 6–8°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, yet trader probabilities cluster tightly around 3–5°C because small changes in cloud cover or humidity can enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and drop readings by several degrees. Persistent high moisture and overcast conditions suppress temperature falls typical of clear autumn nights, while any brief clearing before dawn would favor the lower outcomes still priced near 25–37%. Official station data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.