Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirmed a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions under a strong Bermuda High, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling limiting overnight drops below the seasonal normal of 78°F. Recent model runs from NOAA showed consistent boundary-layer stability with no cold fronts or enhanced subsidence to drive further cooling. While rare station calibration issues or microclimate variations at secondary sites could theoretically shift recorded values, the primary airport dataset used for resolution makes such deviations highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 19?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$8,159 Vol.
$8,159 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$8,159 Vol.
$8,159 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
69°F or below
$120 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$121 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,045 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,510 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$870 Vol.
Yes
78-79°F
$963 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,098 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,156 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$355 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$563 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$358 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirmed a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions under a strong Bermuda High, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling limiting overnight drops below the seasonal normal of 78°F. Recent model runs from NOAA showed consistent boundary-layer stability with no cold fronts or enhanced subsidence to drive further cooling. While rare station calibration issues or microclimate variations at secondary sites could theoretically shift recorded values, the primary airport dataset used for resolution makes such deviations highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$8,159End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirmed a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions under a strong Bermuda High, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling limiting overnight drops below the seasonal normal of 78°F. Recent model runs from NOAA showed consistent boundary-layer stability with no cold fronts or enhanced subsidence to drive further cooling. While rare station calibration issues or microclimate variations at secondary sites could theoretically shift recorded values, the primary airport dataset used for resolution makes such deviations highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,159End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirmed a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions under a strong Bermuda High, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling limiting overnight drops below the seasonal normal of 78°F. Recent model runs from NOAA showed consistent boundary-layer stability with no cold fronts or enhanced subsidence to drive further cooling. While rare station calibration issues or microclimate variations at secondary sites could theoretically shift recorded values, the primary airport dataset used for resolution makes such deviations highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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