Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear to mostly clear skies and light northerly winds over Madrid on October 8, 2026, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that aligns trader consensus around a 12–13°C minimum. Surface observations and ensemble runs show daytime highs near 20°C giving way to dew points in the 8–10°C range overnight, with minimal cloud cover and dry air enhancing heat loss from the urban boundary layer. Slight divergences in predicted wind speeds and timing of the coldest hour create the tight spread between 12°C and 13°C outcomes, while historical October 8 averages near 12.1°C provide a baseline. Updated model guidance through the evening will refine the precise low before resolution.