Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by WeatherBug and LatestLY indicate Lucknow's overnight minimum on September 8 will likely settle near 25–27°C, driven by persistent monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with seasonal norms for early September in the Gangetic plain, where dew points around 25–26°C sustain elevated nighttime temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 27°C (49.5%) and 26°C (26%) reflects the latest model runs showing minimal overnight drops amid ongoing rain chances, though any unexpected clear spell could allow brief cooling toward 24°C. Updated IMD observations and evening forecasts remain the key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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