Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 13?
Lowest temperature in London on June 13?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$15,645 Vol.
$15,645 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$15,645 Vol.
$15,645 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
9°C or below
$533 Vol.
No
10°C
$700 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,263 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,006 Vol.
No
13°C
$5,346 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$1,365 Vol.
No
15°C
$881 Vol.
No
16°C
$691 Vol.
No
17°C
$345 Vol.
No
18°C
$251 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$265 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$15,645End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,645End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions