Official observations from the UK Met Office recorded a minimum temperature of 10°C in London on June 10, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus at that level. Typical early June overnight lows average 10–12°C under moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling, while recent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little potential for sub-10°C readings amid stable high pressure. A small probability for 8°C reflects residual uncertainty in station-specific microclimates or post-processing adjustments, though verified data leave scant room for revision. Updated hourly readings or final quality-controlled archives released in coming days could theoretically shift the exact figure if anomalies surface, but current consensus across monitoring networks strongly supports the observed value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 10?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$38,631 Vol.
$38,631 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$38,631 Vol.
$38,631 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the UK Met Office recorded a minimum temperature of 10°C in London on June 10, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus at that level. Typical early June overnight lows average 10–12°C under moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling, while recent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little potential for sub-10°C readings amid stable high pressure. A small probability for 8°C reflects residual uncertainty in station-specific microclimates or post-processing adjustments, though verified data leave scant room for revision. Updated hourly readings or final quality-controlled archives released in coming days could theoretically shift the exact figure if anomalies surface, but current consensus across monitoring networks strongly supports the observed value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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