Official Hong Kong Observatory records confirming a minimum of 28°C on August 17 underpin the 100% market consensus, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect around the headquarters station. Recent regional conditions, including elevated sea-surface temperatures and light winds, suppressed further drops below this threshold, aligning with seasonal normals near 27°C and the observatory’s ongoing above-normal temperature outlook for August. While measurement revisions or use of an alternate station could theoretically alter resolution, such changes remain improbable given standard verification protocols and the tight clustering of observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$58,071 Vol.
$58,071 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$58,071 Vol.
$58,071 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$503 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,056 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,802 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,272 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,805 Vol.
No
28°C
$18,137 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$7,953 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,611 Vol.
No
31°C
$501 Vol.
No
32°C
$491 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$941 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory records confirming a minimum of 28°C on August 17 underpin the 100% market consensus, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect around the headquarters station. Recent regional conditions, including elevated sea-surface temperatures and light winds, suppressed further drops below this threshold, aligning with seasonal normals near 27°C and the observatory’s ongoing above-normal temperature outlook for August. While measurement revisions or use of an alternate station could theoretically alter resolution, such changes remain improbable given standard verification protocols and the tight clustering of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$58,071End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory records confirming a minimum of 28°C on August 17 underpin the 100% market consensus, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect around the headquarters station. Recent regional conditions, including elevated sea-surface temperatures and light winds, suppressed further drops below this threshold, aligning with seasonal normals near 27°C and the observatory’s ongoing above-normal temperature outlook for August. While measurement revisions or use of an alternate station could theoretically alter resolution, such changes remain improbable given standard verification protocols and the tight clustering of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,071End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory records confirming a minimum of 28°C on August 17 underpin the 100% market consensus, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect around the headquarters station. Recent regional conditions, including elevated sea-surface temperatures and light winds, suppressed further drops below this threshold, aligning with seasonal normals near 27°C and the observatory’s ongoing above-normal temperature outlook for August. While measurement revisions or use of an alternate station could theoretically alter resolution, such changes remain improbable given standard verification protocols and the tight clustering of observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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