Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical weather prediction models indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Chengdu on October 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. This consensus aligns with recent observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near 16–17°C amid stable atmospheric conditions and no significant frontal passages. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability reflects high confidence in these model outputs and historical October baselines for the Sichuan Basin. Uncertainties remain from potential variations in cloud cover that could enhance radiative cooling or localized wind shifts altering boundary-layer mixing, though current guidance shows limited divergence through the overnight period.