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icon for Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

icon for Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Polymarket

$13,559,249 Vol.

Polymarket

$13,559,249 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$889,046 Vol.

66%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$1,523,864 Vol.

32%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a clear edge in the November 3 runoff due to her broader citywide coalition, endorsements from most Los Angeles City Council members, and record on homelessness reductions and public safety. Nithya Raman, the progressive challenger and Democratic Socialists of America member, advanced from the June primary by mobilizing left-leaning voters but trails as she pushes sharper accountability on homelessness spending and a shift of control away from the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority. The most recent flashpoint centers on Bass stepping down from the LAHSA commission and Raman’s criticism of oversight failures, underscoring policy divides over spending priorities and city versus regional authority that traders weigh against Bass’s incumbency advantages and cross-faction support.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$13,559,249
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a clear edge in the November 3 runoff due to her broader citywide coalition, endorsements from most Los Angeles City Council members, and record on homelessness reductions and public safety. Nithya Raman, the progressive challenger and Democratic Socialists of America member, advanced from the June primary by mobilizing left-leaning voters but trails as she pushes sharper accountability on homelessness spending and a shift of control away from the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority. The most recent flashpoint centers on Bass stepping down from the LAHSA commission and Raman’s criticism of oversight failures, underscoring policy divides over spending priorities and city versus regional authority that traders weigh against Bass’s incumbency advantages and cross-faction support.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$13,559,249
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET